Unlike gold, which has forged ahead, there has been very little change in silver since the last update. This is not surprising because gold is stronger than silver during the earliest stages of a new bull market, while silver performs the strongest during the late stages of a bull market as investors "throw caution to the wind."
On the 6-month chart we can see that, although it has risen incrementally over the past week, silver has started to splutter beneath the resistance level shown, with a somewhat bearish (short-term) candle appearing on Friday.
And given that the latest COT shows positions rising to extremes again by early last week, it seems likely that silver will back off some short term, which would be logical if the tension associated with the killing of the Iranian general eases somewhat. If it does it can, of course, be expected to coincide with gold dropping back from its key resistance level temporarily.
Click on chart to pop-up a larger, clearer version.
Overall though, silver's charts continue to look positive, with the 10-year showing it starting to climb away from the second low of a giant Double Bottom, and this is especially the case because gold has already made a clear breakout from its giant multi-year base pattern. Thus, any near-term dip will be viewed as an opportunity to build positions across the sector further. Don't forget the extraordinarily bullish long-term HUI index over gold and silver over gold charts that were included in the last update.
This article was originally published on CliveMaund.com on Sunday, January 05, 2020.
Clive Maund has been president of www.clivemaund.com, a successful resource sector website, since its inception in 2003. He has 30 years' experience in technical analysis and has worked for banks, commodity brokers and stockbrokers in the City of London. He holds a Diploma in Technical Analysis from the UK Society of Technical Analysts.
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The above represents the opinion and analysis of Mr Maund, based on data available to him, at the time of writing. Mr. Maund's opinions are his own, and are not a recommendation or an offer to buy or sell securities. Mr. Maund is an independent analyst who receives no compensation of any kind from any groups, individuals or corporations mentioned in his reports. As trading and investing in any financial markets may involve serious risk of loss, Mr. Maund recommends that you consult with a qualified investment advisor, one licensed by appropriate regulatory agencies in your legal jurisdiction and do your own due diligence and research when making any kind of a transaction with financial ramifications. Although a qualified and experienced stock market analyst, Clive Maund is not a Registered Securities Advisor. Therefore Mr. Maund's opinions on the market and stocks can only be construed as a solicitation to buy and sell securities when they are subject to the prior approval and endorsement of a Registered Securities Advisor operating in accordance with the appropriate regulations in your area of jurisdiction.
