In a Feb. 20 research note, iA Securities analyst George Topping reported that HudBay Minerals Inc.'s (HBM:TSX; HBM:NYSE) Q4/18 was a beat and 2019 guidance is in line.
The company's Q4/18 cash flow was $0.40 per share versus consensus' $0.31 estimate. EBITDA came in at $122.8 million, higher than the Street's $107 million forecast. The beat was due to continued higher grades at Constancia.
Looking at this year, 2019, cash costs per mined ton should decrease from their 2018 peaks. At Constancia they should drop by 5%, and at Manitoba they should stabilize.
Copper production also is expected to come down, by about 12%, as the copper grades at Constancia revert to the average.
HudBay has a new mine plan for Lalor that encompasses the New Britannia gold mill. It outlines gold production of 140 thousand ounces a year at cash costs of $450 per ounce for the first five years "once the mill is refurbished and the gold zone is accessed in 2022," Topping noted.
As for Rosemont, Topping indicated, HudBay should receive the final water permits soon.
IA Securities has a Buy rating and a CA$12.20 per share target price on HudBay, whose current share price is around CA$9.05.
[NLINSERT]Disclosure:
1) Doresa Banning compiled this article for Streetwise Reports LLC and provides services to Streetwise Reports as an independent contractor. She or members of her household own securities of the following companies mentioned in the article: None. She or members of her household are paid by the following companies mentioned in this article: None.
2) The following companies mentioned in this article are billboard sponsors of Streetwise Reports: None. Click here for important disclosures about sponsor fees. The information provided above is for informational purposes only and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security.
3) Comments and opinions expressed are those of the specific experts and not of Streetwise Reports or its officers.
4) The article does not constitute investment advice. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her individual financial professional and any action a reader takes as a result of information presented here is his or her own responsibility. By opening this page, each reader accepts and agrees to Streetwise Reports' terms of use and full legal disclaimer. This article is not a solicitation for investment. Streetwise Reports does not render general or specific investment advice and the information on Streetwise Reports should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Streetwise Reports does not endorse or recommend the business, products, services or securities of any company mentioned on Streetwise Reports.
5) From time to time, Streetwise Reports LLC and its directors, officers, employees or members of their families, as well as persons interviewed for articles and interviews on the site, may have a long or short position in securities mentioned. Directors, officers, employees or members of their immediate families are prohibited from making purchases and/or sales of those securities in the open market or otherwise from the time of the interview or the decision to write an article until three business days after the publication of the interview or article. The foregoing prohibition does not apply to articles that in substance only restate previously published company releases.
Disclosures from iA Securities, Hudbay Minerals Inc., Research Update, February 20, 2019
Conflicts of Interest: The research analyst and or associates who prepared this report are compensated based upon (among other factors) the overall profitability of iA Securities, which may include the profitability of investment banking and related services. In the normal course of its business, iA Securities may provide financial advisory services for the issuers mentioned in this report. iA Securities may buy from or sell to customers the securities of issuers mentioned in this report on a principal basis.
Analyst's Certification: Each iA Securities research analyst whose name appears on the front page of this research report hereby certifies that (i) the recommendations and opinions expressed in the research report accurately reflect the research analyst's personal views about the issuer and securities that are the subject of this report and all other companies and securities mentioned in this report that are covered by such research analyst and (ii) no part of the research analyst's compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed by such research analyst in this report.
Analyst Trading: iA Securities permits analysts to own and trade in the securities and or the derivatives of the issuer under their research coverage, subject to the following restrictions. No trades can be executed in anticipation of coverage for a period of 30 days prior to the issuance of the report and 5 days after the dissemination of the report to our clients. For a change in recommendation, no trading is allowed for a period of 24 hours after the dissemination of such information to our clients. A transaction against an analyst's recommendation can only be executed for a reason unrelated to the outlook of the stock for the issuer and with the prior approval of the Director of Research and the Chief Compliance Officer.
Company Related Disclosures:
The analyst has visited the issuer's operations. No payment or reimbursement was received from the issuer for the associated travel costs.
