Stillwater Critical Minerals Corp. (PGE:TSX.V; PGEZF:OTCQB; J0G:FSE) now has the first ever three-dimensional (3D) geologic model of its flagship Stillwater West polymetallic project in Montana, and it shows clear expansion potential, reported Couloir Capital analysts in an Oct. 17 research note.
"This model effectively links the eastern and western extremities of a large, world-class area and serves as a guide for expanding the company's resource base," the analysts wrote.
Stillwater West, containing nine essential metals, is a rare critical minerals project in the U.S., as it offers grade and scale in a producing district.
97% Return Potential
Couloir Capital's fair value price on Stillwater is now CA$0.23 per share.
In comparison, the stock's share price at the time of the report was about CA$0.12.
The difference between these two prices implies a return for investors of 92%. The British Columbia-based mineral explorer remains a Buy.
Potential for Resource Expansion Shown
Stillwater Critical Minerals had a property-wide airborne electromagnetic geophysical survey done at its flagship project as part of its 2024 field activities there. Glencore International Plc (GLNCY:OTCMKTS; GLEN:LSE), with a 15.4% interest in the company and significant survey experience, helped design it. The purpose was twofold: to refine drill targets throughout the 12-kilometer (12 km) resource area and help prioritize other, untested conductive targets throughout the wider 61-square-kilometer project area. Stillwater's ultimate goal is to expand the mineral resource estimate prepared in 2023.
The new survey covered 1,170 km, expanding upon surveys conducted in the early 2000s. It delivered the maiden 3D geologic model of the lower, 9.5 km-long Stillwater Igneous Complex and showed continuity of mineralization throughout its length. The survey also, throughout the project, demonstrated strong correlations between the Peridotite zone and the geophysical and geochemical soil anomalies, another indicator of expansion potential, evident in all directions, between deposits, downdip and along strike.
Results of the final batch of drill results (three holes) from 2023 also showed resource expansion potential, noted Couloir. Holes CM2023-01, CM2023-02 and CM2023-03 intersected magmatic nickel and copper sulphide mineralization containing significant platinum group elements (PGE) in various mineralization styles. This confirmed similarities to the Bushveld Igneous Complex.
"We believe Stillwater West is well positioned to rapidly advance as a potential large-scale, low-carbon source of nickel, copper, cobalt, palladium, platinum, and rhodium," Couloir Capital analysts wrote.
Two Strategic Partnerships
They reported that Stillwater signed a memorandum of understanding with U.S. Strategic Metals, a Missouri, U.S.-based processor of critical minerals and supplier of supply battery-grade metals for domestic use. This strategic partnership includes a potential offtake agreement and is part of Stillwater's ongoing efforts to collaborate with companies and U.S. government agencies to establish domestic critical metals supply chains.
In partnership with the Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, the company will investigate the possibility of producing geologic hydrogen at Stillwater West. For this, the U.S. Department of Energy granted Stillwater US$2 million (US$2M) in funds via the Advanced Research Projects Agency program.
"These endeavors position Stillwater as a leading U.S. company in meeting the growing demand for critical minerals and supporting the green energy transition," Couloir analysts wrote.
Earn-In Deal Work Progressing
Stillwater has an agreement in place with Heritage Mining for Heritage to earn 51% initially, then another 39% of the Drayton-Black Lake gold-silver-copper project in Ontario, Canada. According to Couloir analysts, Heritage is making good progress on its commitment.
Heritage spent the requisite yearly CA$500,000 on exploration in 2022 and 2023. Also, it issued 11.25 million (11.25M) Heritage shares and 6 million warrants and paid nearly CA$170,000 in cash to Stillwater. Heritage is expected to issue another 1.1M shares in November 2024 and carry out CA$2.5M worth of exploration work.
"We think this could change and impact the overall valuation of PGE if Heritage Mining is able to advance the project toward a mineral resource estimate," commented the analysts.
Need To Raise Capital
Couloir Capital pointed out that Stillwater will need to raise capital in the near future. At the end of Q1 of fiscal year 2025, the company had CA$2.47M in cash, CA$4.09M in working capital and no long-term debt, not enough to get it through the next 12 months.
What To Watch For
Several near-term events could catalyze Stillwater's stock, noted Couloir analysts. One is news about progress made in advancing Stillwater West, specifically in terms of drill programs, drill results, and expansion of the existing resource.
Updates on the Drayton-Black Lake project and Stillwater's option agreement with Heritage Mining could boost the stock. News about significant changes to Stillwater's capital structure, like a financing, also could impact the share price.
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- Stillwater Critical Minerals is a billboard sponsor of Streetwise Reports and pays SWR a monthly sponsorship fee between US$4,000 and US$5,000.
- Doresa Banning wrote this article for Streetwise Reports LLC and provides services to Streetwise Reports as an independent contractor.
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Disclosures for Couloir Capital, Stillwater Critical Minerals, October 17, 2024
This report has been prepared by an analyst on contract with or employed by Couloir Capital Ltd. The analyst certifies that the views expressed in this report, which include the rating assigned to the issuer’s shares as well as the analytical substance and tone of the report, accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject securities and the issuer. No part of his / her compensa- tion was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations.
Couloir Capital, its affiliates, and their respective officers, directors, representatives, researchers, and members of their families may hold positions in the companies mentioned in this document and may buy and/or sell their securities. Additionally, Couloir Capital may have provided, in the past and may provide, in the future, certain advisory or corporate finance services and receive financial and other incentives from issuers as consideration for the provision of such services.
Couloir Capital has prepared this document for general information purposes only. This document should not be considered a solicitation to purchase or sell securities or a recommendation to buy or sell securities. The information provided has been derived from sources believed to be accu- rate but cannot be guaranteed. This document does not consider the particular investment ob- jectives, financial situations, or needs of individual recipients and other issues (e.g., prohibitions to investments due to law, jurisdiction issues, etc.) that may exist for certain persons. Recipients should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice before making an investment. Couloir Capital will not treat recipients of this document as clients by virtue of having viewed this document.
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