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TICKERS: ALDX

Q4/22 Catalysts Could Boost Undervalued Biopharma Stock
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The year's final quarter is significant for this U.S.-based firm given the trio of significant clinical achievements in its sight, noted a Laidlaw & Co. report.

Aldeyra Therapeutics Inc. (ALDX:NASDAQ) remains on track to potentially reach three significant milestones before year-end, reported Laidlaw & Co. analyst Dr. Yale Jen, in a November 10, 2022 research note.

Together, these would advance its three primary drug candidates and potentially lift its share price.

The biopharma's shares are still undervalued, Jen highlighted. The disparity is evident when comparing Laidlaw's target price on Aldeyra, US$50 per share, to the company's current price, US$5 per share. With its upcoming catalysts and undervaluation, the company is currently a compelling investment and is rated Buy.

The Catalyst Trifecta

The developer of therapeutics for immune-mediated diseases expects to achieve the following during the last weeks of this quarter, Jen reiterated:

1) Submit a new drug application (NDA) to the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) for its reproxalap drug candidate as a treatment for dry eye disease, Jen wrote. Following approval, the analyst added, Aldeyra would likely seek a partner to commercialize the therapeutic.

2) Complete a pre-NDA meeting with the FDA  for its drug candidate, ADX-2191, in primary vitreoretinal lymphoma.

3) Release topline data from the Phase 2 trial of ADX-629 in acute alcoholic hepatitis.

Better-Than-Expected Q3/22

In his research note, Jen also reported Aldeyra's Q3/22 topline financials, which were better than Laidlaw and the Street expected. The company posted a net loss of -US$14.6 million (-US$14.6M) [-US$0.25 per share], better than Laidlaw and consensus' estimates of -US$18.5M (-US$0.32 per share) and -US$20.6M (-US$0.35 per share), respectively.

At the end of Q3/22, Aldeyra had about US$185M in cash, enough, according to Jen, to carry it through next year.


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Disclosures:
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Disclosures For Laidlaw & Company, Aldeyra Therapeutics November 10, 2022

ANALYST CERTIFICATION

The analyst responsible for the content of this report hereby certifies that the views expressed regarding the company or companies and their securities accurately represent his personal views and that no direct or indirect compensation is to be received by the analyst for any specific recommendation or views contained in this report. Neither the author of this report nor any member of his immediate family or household maintains a position in the securities mentioned in this report.

EQUITY DISCLOSURES

For the purpose of ratings distributions, regulatory rules require the firm to assign ratings to one of three rating categories (i.e. Strong Buy/Buy-Overweight, Hold, or Underweight/Sell) regardless of a firm's own rating categories. Although the firm’s ratings of Buy/Overweight, Hold, or Underweight/Sell most closely correspond to Buy, Hold and Sell, respectively, the meanings are not the same because our ratings are determined on a relative basis against the analyst sector universe of stocks. An analyst's coverage sector is comprised of companies that are engaged in similar business or share similar operating characteristics as the subject company. The analysis sector universe is a sub-sector to the analyst's coverage sector, and is compiled to assist the analyst in determining relative valuations of subject companies. The composition of an analyst's sector universe is subject to change over time as various factors, including changing market conditions occur. Accordingly, the rating assigned to a particular stock represents solely the analyst's view of how that stock will perform over the next 12-months relative to the analyst's sector universe. Additional information available upon request. ‡ Laidlaw & Company has received compensation from the subject company for investment banking services in the past 12 months and expects to receive or intends to seek compensation for investment banking services from the company in the next three months. 

As of the date of this report, neither the author of this report nor any member of his immediate family or household maintains an ownership position in the securities of the company (ies) mentioned in this report.

This report does not provide individually tailored investment advice and has been prepared without regard to the individual financial circumstances and objectives of persons who receive it. Laidlaw & Co (UK), Ltd. recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. The appropriateness of a particular investment or strategy will depend on an investor's individual circumstances and objectives.

The securities, instruments, or strategies discussed in this report may not be suitable for all investors, and certain investors may not be eligible to purchase or participate in some or all of them. This report is not an offer to buy or sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security/instrument or to participate in any particular trading strategy.

Associated persons of Laidlaw & Co (UK), Ltd not involved in the preparation of this report may have investments in securities/instruments or derivatives of securities/instruments of companies mentioned herein and may trade them in ways different from those discussed in this report. While Laidlaw & Co (UK), Ltd., prohibits analysts from receiving any compensation. Bonus or incentive based on specific recommendations for, or view of, a particular company, investors should be aware that any or all of the foregoing, among other things, may give rise to real or potential conflicts of interest.

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Estimates of future performance are based on assumptions that may not be realized. If provided, and unless otherwise stated, the closing price on the cover page is that of the primary exchange for the subject company's securities/instruments.

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