Component Supplier Finds Excellent Growth Opportunity in Pentagon's US$9.4B Program

1. Unusual Machines Inc. is a billboard sponsor of Streetwise Reports and pays SWR a monthly sponsorship fee between US$3,000 and US$6,000.
2. As of the date of this article, officers, contractors, shareholders, and/or employees of Streetwise Reports LLC (including members of their household) own securities of Unusual Machines Inc.
3. Steve Sobek wrote this article for Streetwise Reports LLC and provides services to Streetwise Reports as an employee.
4. This article does not constitute investment advice and is not a solicitation for any investment. Streetwise Reports does not render general or specific investment advice and the information on Streetwise Reports should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her personal financial adviser and perform their own comprehensive investment research. By opening this page, each reader accepts and agrees to Streetwise Reports' terms of use and full legal disclaimer. Streetwise Reports does not endorse or recommend the business, products, services or securities of any company. 

For additional disclosures, please click here.

1. Ownership and Share Structure Information

The information listed above was updated on the date this article was published and was compiled from information from the company and various other data providers.

Unusual Machines Inc. (UMAC:NYSEAMERICAN), a leading provider of NDAA-compliant drone components, announced it has received a US$2.1 million purchase order for drone systems assembled domestically for defense and government applications, as stated in a January 15 release.

This order reflects sustained customer demand and a growing number of orders as various programs move into their execution stages, the company noted. The full US$2.1 million order is expected to be fulfilled during the first and second quarters of this year, leveraging existing manufacturing capabilities and inventory readiness.

The order includes Rotor Riot Brave flight controllers and Brave ESCs, Fat Shark Aura analog cameras, Aura video transmitters (VTX), HDO+ headsets, and motors, all designed for integration into customer drone platforms operating under stringent government timelines.

"We've built our operations for visibility and control," stated Chief Operating Officer Drew Camden. "By aligning people, processes, and capacity early, we're able to execute quickly when timelines matter. That agility allows us to move alongside our customers as requirements take shape, rather than waiting for decisions to be finalized."

'The Year of the Drone'

Unusual Machines and other firms in the unmanned sector are positioned to benefit if U.S. President Donald Trump's proposed US$1.5 trillion defense budget for fiscal year 2027 (FY27) is realized, as noted in a research note by Needham & Co. Analyst Austin Bohlig dated January 8.

"If enacted, we expect a growing share of incremental defense spending to be directed toward unmanned and autonomous technologies, which will significantly expand the total addressable market across the unmanned ecosystem," Bohlig wrote.

Needham has set a target price of US$20 per share for Unusual Machines, which was trading at about US$14.68 per share at the time of the report. This indicates a potential return of 36% for investors. UMAC is rated as a Buy.

The company is set for substantial growth this year, with several catalysts expected to enhance its performance, according to a January 5 research note by Bohlig.

Needham has labeled 2026 as "The Year of the Drone," predicting that the "unmanned supercycle will meaningfully inflect" and result in multiple record-setting years for drone procurement. This outlook is advantageous for Unusual Machines, a leading domestic supplier of cost-effective, flight-critical drone components.

"Unusual Machines' robust growth profile, scarcity value, and strong ties to the Trump Administration justify a 15x enterprise value:sales premium multiple compared to our drone comp group," Bohlig wrote.

Catalysts Ahead for Co.

Bohlig highlighted several key catalysts for Unusual Machines this year. The company is expected to fulfill most of its approximately US$20 million backlog in the first half of 2026. This backlog, along with the company's retail operations, should meet the consensus full-year 2026 revenue estimate of US$25 million. Additional orders are anticipated from the expansion of three major federal U.S. programs: PBAS (Purchase-Built Attritable Systems), the US$1 billion Drone Dominance program, and SkyFoundry.

PBAS is the first large-scale, cost-effective drone procurement initiative, awarded in the latter half of 2025, with Unusual Machines supplying components to all three initial recipients. The first tranche was valued at US$35 million. The Drone Dominance Program is expected to acquire about 340,000 small drones over two years, with the first tranche for 30,000 drones anticipated this quarter. SkyFoundry, the U.S. Army's initiative to produce up to 10,000 small drones per month, represents a potential US$60 million market opportunity for Unusual Machines.

The Federal Communications Commission's recent ban on foreign-produced drones and components broadens these opportunities for domestic suppliers, providing a boost for Unusual Machines' long-term growth.

Another catalyst is Unusual Machines reaching break-even, expected in Q4 2026. However, the company faces challenges in order fulfillment, as it is behind schedule in meeting its original production target at its new Orlando-based motor manufacturing facility. Despite this, Bohlig believes Unusual Machines will begin shipping over 10,000 motors per month by January, sufficient to meet near-term demand. The company has a strong balance sheet with about US$150 million in cash and no debt, and its operational cash burn is low. As the company scales, both cash burn and expenses are expected to rise, but the revenue ramp and improving gross margins support a clear path to break even at a US$10 million quarterly revenue run rate.

Needham also foresees that Unusual Machines may engage in mergers and acquisitions (M&A) or become an acquisition target within the next 12 months. "2026 could represent a year of transformational M&A for Unusual Machines, which could potentially drive shares even higher," Bohlig wrote.

As an acquirer, Unusual Machines could merge with a larger private company to accelerate vertical integration or acquire additional unmanned systems components. As an acquisition target, Unusual Machines is appealing to OEMs and defense suppliers seeking exposure to the growing, cost-effective drone market, especially given the U.S. mandate for domestically made drones and components.

A Turning Point for the Sector

The aerospace and defense industry is at a crucial juncture as it moves into the latter half of the decade, according to the "2026 Aerospace and Defense Industry Outlook" published on November 13, 2025, by the Deloitte Research Center for Energy and Industrials. The report emphasizes that factors which have shaped the industry in recent years—such as digital transformation, supply chain disruptions, talent shortages, and geopolitical events—are now converging with new drivers like agentic AI, emerging vehicles, and the rapid progress of autonomous systems.

Defense priorities are shifting towards the accelerated deployment of AI-enabled systems and collaborative combat aircraft. "'Speed to field' is becoming the unifying metric across portfolios," Deloitte analysts observed.

Drones are being utilized in a variety of applications, including AI-driven navigation, defense contracts, emergency response technologies, and logistics automation, as reported by Kate Stalter for U.S. News & World Report on December 4, 2025. The military's use of drones is also on the rise. "Roughly every 20 years, new technologies arise that change the nature of warfare. Drones are the latest innovation, and the war between Russia and Ukraine is the laboratory highlighting their importance for future conflicts around the world," stated Scott Sacknoff, president and index manager at Spade Defense Index. Spade, based in Bethesda, Maryland, evaluates the performance of companies involved in the development, manufacturing, and operations of U.S. defense, security, and aerospace industries. The Invesco Aerospace & Defense exchange-traded fund (PPA) tracks the Spade Defense Index.

According to Grand View Research, the global drone market was valued at US$73.06 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow to US$163.6 billion by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 14.3% from 2025 to 2030. This expansion is largely driven by rapid technological advancements in drones, improvements in battery efficiency, AI-driven autonomous systems, and enhanced imaging sensors, which are broadening drone applications across various industries.

In 2024, North America led the drone market, capturing over 39% of the market share. The hardware segment accounted for the largest revenue share by component, exceeding 58% in 2024, while the multi-rotor segment held the largest revenue share by product, according to researchers.

The financial stakes are significant. A December 5 report for Business Insider by Chris Panella highlighted that "billions of dollars are at stake" in the race to develop defense drones. The Pentagon plans to spend US$9.4 billion on aerial combat drones in fiscal year 2026 as part of a larger US$13.4 billion investment in autonomous systems. Additionally, the Air Force is requesting US$789.4 million for the research and development of autonomous "loyal wingmen" drones that can operate alongside crewed combat aircraft or conduct missions independently. The Department of Defense also plans to allocate US$3.1 billion to counter-drone technology.

Ownership and Share Structure¹

Regarding ownership and share structure, seven strategic entities own 6.92% of Unusual Machines, including the CEO, Evans, with 3.03% and Chief Financial Officer Brian Hoff with 1.13%. More than 100 institutions hold 23.96%; one of them, Tudor Investment Corp., is the largest shareholder overall, with 3.27%. Retail investors own the remainder.

Unusual Machines has 36.88 million shares outstanding. Its market cap is US$682.57 million. Its 52-week range is US$4.45–17.48 per share.