In a January 24, 2025 research note, D. Boral Capital analyst Jason Kolbert maintained a Buy rating on IMUNON Inc. (IMNM:NASDAQ)with a US$29.00 target price, following management meetings that revealed positive data trends and readiness for pivotal trials of IMNN-001 in ovarian cancer.
The Phase 2 OVATION 2 trial's active treatment group is showing improved outcomes with better hazard ratios and overall survival metrics, while the standard of care arm remains consistent with historical benchmarks. Recent FDA meetings have indicated strong alignment with the pivotal Phase 3 trial design planned for early 2025.
IMNN-001, utilizing the company's TheraPlas platform, targets Stage III/IV epithelial ovarian cancer, addressing a significant unmet need as approximately 70% of cases are identified at advanced stages. The planned pivotal trial will be highly powered at 99% with a modest treatment effect assumed.
The analyst uses a 50% probability of success factor for IL12 in Ovarian Cancer and a 30% discount rate, with assumptions for additional capital raises in the final share count. The valuation is based on an equal-weighted average of Free Cash Flow to the firm, discounted EPS, and sum-of-the-parts models.
Key risks include clinical/regulatory risk, partnership and financial risk, commercial risk, legal and intellectual property risk, and market share risk. The company will need to raise capital to fund the pivotal study, which is identified as a critical success factor.
The share price at the time of the report of US$10.22 represents a potential return of 183.757% to D. Boral's US$29.00 target price.
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Disclosures for D. Boral Capital, IMUNON Inc., January 24, 2025
Analyst Certification I, Jason Kolbert, certify that all of the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect my personal views about the subject security(ies) and subject company(ies). I also certify that no part of my compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this research report.
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